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in september, the non-farm payrolls data will be released soon, which will be the first test for the market, determine the extent of the first interest rate cut by the federal reserve, and have a profound impact on the market trend. after experiencing turmoil and anxiety, people began to look for new directions and new hopes.
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the u.s. personal consumption expenditure (pce) price index rose 0.2% month-on-month and 2.5% year-on-year in july, the same as in june. excluding the volatile food and energy components, the core pce grew 2.6% year-on-year, in line with market expectations. at the same time, the monthly rate of consumer spending accelerated to 0.5% last month, ensuring the resilience of the economy. the decline in inflation expectations is also expected to ease pressure on the federal reserve. the university of michigan's monthly consumer confidence survey showed that one-year inflation expectations fell 0.1 percentage points to 2.8%, the lowest level since december 2020. the sentiment index rose slightly to 67.9 from an eight-month low of 66.4, ending the previous four consecutive months of decline.
these data show that the resilience of the us economy is guaranteed and is moving towards stability. however, the market still faces challenges. the release of non-agricultural data will reveal the future direction of the market.
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