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balance on chessboard

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president pezhechiyan expressed his willingness to participate in negotiations at the united nations general assembly, but the "iran nuclear agreement" is not a simple negotiation, but a strategy in the game. iran chose to "trigger but not trigger" in exchange for economic development and international recognition. this choice gives iran greater room for maneuver. the outside world's speculation about iran's "surrender" ignores the united states' strategic need for "offshore balancing" in the middle east. as long as iran maintains the existence of the "arc of resistance," the united states cannot escape its control of iran.

however, iran also seems to see its own opportunity, believing that time is on its side and that it does not need a large-scale war to end the palestinian-israeli conflict. they believe that as the united states gradually withdraws from the middle east, the palestinian-israeli issue will eventually be "integrated" into one country, and time does not stand on israel's shoulders.

this confidence is not without reason, but the result of iran's past strategic layout. iran gained benefits from filling the power vacuum during the actions of the george w. bush and obama administrations more than a decade ago, but these benefits were not sustainable in the long term. now, with the united states' "maximum pressure" and the biden administration's relaxation policy, iran has begun to adopt a more pragmatic approach to avoid being directly involved in war and maintain its security red line.

like black and white on a chessboard, iran chose to be cautious in the balance and wait for the opportunity. their strategy does not mean surrender, but to observe the overall changes more calmly and wait for a pace that is more suitable for them.